Counterinsurgency: A new type of war
Comparison
Stability and reform
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
Quick
Weaknesses
As we move into an era where conventional warfare becomes the exception rather than the rule and where enemies are no longer so easily distinguishable from their civilian population comes the challenge of how to tackle these new insurgents that are rocking the peace and stability of a nation.
Counterinsurgency has been coined as the new type of war, a war that despite retaining its military leadership and characteristics is, on paper at least, being used to fight the insurgents through the local population. Its people-centric approach has moved away from war's focus on destruction of the enemy, to winning over the locals and enabling them to reduce support for the insurgents effectively forcing them out.
Traditional war tends to avoided in favour of this population-centric approach, however there remain challenges to this new type of war.
To understand how this new type of war, counterinsurgency, differs from traditional warfare, its benefits and its challenges its useful to pit the two types of war side by side as has been done below.
Counterinsurgency: Comprehensive civilian and military
effort taken to simultaneously defeat and contain insurgency and address its
root causes.
“Every
military leader, traditionally a professional specialising in the management of
violence, must be prepared to become a social worker, a civil engineer, a
schoolteacher, a nurse, a boy scout… but only for as long as he cannot be
replaced, for it is better to entrust civilian tasks to civilians.” -
French counterinsurgency expert David Galula
Conventional warfare can be defined as armed
conflicts
that are openly
waged by one state against another by means of their regular armies.
But today this seems to have largely become an exception rather than the rule.
The goal behind counterinsurgency is to
defeat an insurgency and resolve the
insurgency’s
underlying causes. In order to
do this the counterinsurgents will look to create and maintain long-lasting
stability through effective governance, economic development and social reform, using a mix of defensive, offensive and stabilising
techniques.
vs
Destruction
Conventional warfare has a greater focus on combat and
military might to destroy an enemy with a priority on engaging with the opposing
armed forces and demonstrating the capacity to fight, kill and win.
Counterinsurgency has become less
about combat and more about the powers of persuasion to build relationships,
reduce the insurgent influence and train indigenous security forces.
Diplomacy
Military Might
Conventional warfare is form of hard power with its big
demonstration of military might through the sheer numbers of trained soldiers
and
military equipment such as tanks, mechanised infantry, combat engineering
capability, artillery, attack aviation, air and naval support.
Counterinsurgency prioritises the
safety, security and popular support of the civilian population.
Counterinsurgency essentially has
a population-centric approach that’s aimed at winning the hearts and minds of
the people and persuading them to reject the insurgency.
People centric
People come second
Conventional warfare has a greater focus on combat and
military might to destroy an enemy with a priority on engage with the opposing
armed forces and demonstrating the capacity to fight, kill and win. Victory is
emphasised through firepower and manoeuvres.
Counterinsurgency also tends to take a very long time as
this graph shows…the longer counterinsurgent forces were in place the more likely of
lasting success. Even
in the short term, after
the establishment of good coin practices the average insurgency still lasts
roughly six more years.
Lengthy and costly investment
Quicker and cheaper
It can be a quicker rapid way of
defeating the enemy as forces act first and finish decisively with their exertion of military might. This rapid and decisive outcome through the use of
overwhelming force minimises the likelihood of long-term deployments and becoming bogged down in a foreign intervention and is evidently cheaper.
Counterinsurgent forces may go
into a territory to try to put an end to insurgency earlier than it may have otherwise, in the hopes of averting war
Early intervention
vs
Last resort
Conventional warfare is typically
a last
resort used
to defeat the enemy in a worst-case scenario where nothing else has worked
Asymmetric warfare without a clear battlefield and and end goal of stability and social reform that is not so easily defined.
Asymmetric
Symmetric
Symmetric warfare on a usually defined battlefield that has a rapid and decisive outcome achieved through the use of overwhelming force
Afghanistan: a case-study
The US public perspective on COIN in Afghanistan
Strengths
People-centric
Long-term vision of stability
Prioritises diplomatic relations over war
Works with and equips the locals
Well-intentioned
Counterinsurgency
vs
Traditional war
Quick
Cheap
Victory and end goal easily definable
Costly
Long-term investment
Risks disempowering the locals by prioritising own goals over the local vision
Can be used as a cover to gain some element of control over the foreign nation and its resources
A foreign force not always welcomed by the locals
Counterinsurgents military trained and not always equipped or trained for more diplomatic operations
Counterinsurgency
vs
Traditional war
Military and violence-centric
Focus on the short-term = victory
Alienates the locals by destroying and seizing territory with military might
Not always welcomed by the locals
Food for thought
Despite some of its flaws and failings
and its potential to become simply a militarised
attempt at peace-making counterinsurgency has
potential to fighting non-state actors and has the admirable
goal of supporting a nation on its journey to greater stability through social
and economic reforms that would hopefully, eventually, reduce support for the insurgents and force
them out.
However it must not be used as an
excuse for foreign states to intervene in another country’s affairs and impose
their own self-interested objectives.
Given the locals are given adequate
scope to fulfill their own objectives for their state and that the balance of
power is given to locals with a vested interest in the increased stability of
their nation then counterinsurgency, given a chance does seem to be a
preferable option to war.
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